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Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview

Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City Faces Stern RB Leipzig Test in Champions League

Pep Guardiola, the master tactician of Manchester City, found himself banned from the touchline in the recent Premier League fixtures, frustratingly watching as his team suffered a second consecutive defeat. Now, a significant UEFA Champions League encounter awaits his squad – an immediate opportunity to respond after their stunning start to the 2023-24 season abruptly halted in matches against Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Manchester City Manager Pep Guardiola Image via Wikipedia Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
Manchester City Manager Pep Guardiola, Image via Wikipedia

Read More: 8 Champions League Hidden Talents Worth Keeping an Eye on in the 2023-24 season

Man City’s Recent Struggles

The early part of the season saw Manchester City win six straight Premier League games, triumph in the UEFA Super Cup, and dispatch Crvena Zvezda to kick off their UCL campaign. However, their armor showed signs of chinks with Rodri’s suspension following a red card against Nottingham Forest. The treble winners seemed more vulnerable just as their rivals began to contemplate if there was indeed a way to halt their juggernaut.

Newcastle United battled to a 1-0 win, dumping City out of the EFL Cup, and Wolves followed with a shock 2-1 victory in the Premier League, leaving Guardiola stranded in the stands.

Wolves vs Manchester City XG Map Image via Opta Analyst Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
Wolves vs Manchester City XG Map, Image via Opta Analyst

Manchester City’s UCL Challenge

Manchester City aims to put those losses behind them and move a step closer to securing a spot in the last 16 of the Champions League. However, they couldn’t have asked for a more challenging fixture to regain their form, as RB Leipzig appears to be their sternest competition in Group G.

RB Leipzig’s Formidable Record

RB Leipzig, under the management of Marco Rose, has steadily built an impressive resume. Since Rose’s appointment just over a year ago, Leipzig has lost merely six out of 30 Bundesliga matches. They secured a second straight DFB-Pokal crown and even managed to defeat the formidable Bayern Munich in the DFL-Supercup. Heading into this contest, Leipzig boasts an impressive record of scoring in 16 consecutive matches.

Leipzig faced Bayern Munich in their most recent league encounter, with a thrilling 2-2 draw. This demonstrates their mettle against top opponents. Their UCL campaign began with a convincing 3-1 victory away to Young Boys, suggesting that the pre-tournament predictions of these two teams dominating the group may hold true.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich XG Map Image via Opta Analyst Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich XG Map, Image via Opta Analyst

Key Players to Watch

Manchester City’s hopes rest heavily on the shoulders of Erling Haaland, the Premier League’s top scorer, and Julian Alvarez, who has enjoyed an impressive start to the 2023-24 season with three goals and three assists in his first seven EPL matches. Alvarez was also instrumental in City’s 3-1 comeback win against Crvena Zvezda in their continental campaign opener, displaying remarkable attacking prowess.

Fortunately for Guardiola, the influential Rodri should return to the starting lineup, as his domestic suspension does not apply in European competitions.

Xavi Simons Image via Twitter Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
Xavi Simons, Image via Twitter

Leipzig’s Openda has made a significant impact by finding the back of the net four times in the Bundesliga, while Xavi Simons has played a pivotal role for Leipzig, contributing three goals and creating four assists in seven top-tier matches.

Head-to-Head Battles

Manchester City and RB Leipzig have become familiar opponents, facing each other as often as their domestic rivals in recent seasons. This marks the third consecutive Champions League campaign where the two teams will go head-to-head.

Leipzig has fared well in the fixtures played on their home turf, winning 2-1 two years ago and securing a 1-1 draw in the first leg of their last-16 tie last season. However, in a stunning turnaround, Man City emphatically won the tie at the Etihad Stadium in March, recording a famous 7-0 second-leg win with Haaland scoring five times in a remarkable 35-minute spell.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City XG Graph from their last face off Image via Opta Analyst Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City XG Graph from their last face-off, Image via Opta Analyst

Haaland’s record against RB Leipzig is sensational, with 11 goals in just six career appearances against them, more than against any other opponent while playing for top-flight clubs.

Historical Perspective

Last season, Leipzig faced another formidable opponent in the Champions League, Real Madrid, who were defending the trophy. Leipzig triumphed with a 3-2 win in Germany, adding historical weight to this matchup. It presents the hosts with a unique opportunity to become the first team since Atletico Madrid in 2015 and 2016 to earn consecutive wins over the defending champions in consecutive continental campaigns.

Recent Form

Despite losing key players like Christopher Nkunku in the summer, Leipzig has maintained excellent form. They’ve notched six wins and a draw in their last seven matches in all competitions since their defeat to Bayer Leverkusen in August. Starting with a commanding 5-1 win over Stuttgart, Rose’s side has netted 20 goals during this sequence. They have displayed a penchant for quick starts, scoring the first goal in each of their last six fixtures. Defensively, they’ve conceded just twice before halftime.

RB Leipzig Manager Marco Rose Image via Wikipedia Manchester City vs. RB Leipzig in Champions League: Prediction and Preview
RB Leipzig Manager Marco Rose, Image via Wikipedia

In the Champions League, Leipzig had two wins, one draw, and one loss in the four contests played at the Red Bull Arena last season. Against Manchester City, they will aim to extend an eight-match unbeaten streak in all competitions at home. Moreover, they’ll be eager to kickstart their UCL campaign with two straight wins for the first time.

Loïs Openda has been impressive, netting four Bundesliga goals so far, while Xavi Simons has also been key for Leipzig with three goals and four assists in seven top-flight matches.

Manchester City’s European Prowess

Manchester City, despite their recent domestic setbacks, holds a strong European record. They were unbeaten in their six European contests on the road last season. Group games have rarely posed a problem, with only two defeats in their last 30 such matches. Nevertheless, they’ve faced 0-0 draws in three of their last seven away contests at this stage.

Erling Haalnd, Image via Reuters
Erling Haalnd, Image via Reuters

German teams have not proven overly problematic for City either, as they’ve lost just one of their last 21 UCL games against Bundesliga opponents, which was the defeat to Leipzig in December 2021. Their attacking prowess was on full display against Crvena Zvezda, setting records for shots inside the box and touches in the opposition penalty area.

Prediction

Considering the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, our prediction leans towards Manchester City getting back on track by defeating RB Leipzig in this pivotal Champions League encounter.

RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City UCL Squads

RB Leipzig Squad: Péter Gulácsi, Janis Blaswich, Moritz Ae, Timo Schlieck, Mohamed Simakan, Christopher Lenz, Willi Orbán, Lukas Klostermann, David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Tim Köhler, Lenny Hennig, Benjamin Henrichs, Tim Meyer, Amadou Haidara, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Fabio Carvalho, Xaver Schlager, Winners Osawe, Kevin Kampl, Lennart Johanns, Simon Schierack, Dani Olmo, Yussuf Poulsen, Emil Forsberg, Timo Werner, Loïs Openda, Xavi Simons, Benjamin Šeško, Tino Kaufmann.

Coach: Marco Rose

Manchester City Squad: Stefan Ortega, Ederson, Scott Carson, Kyle Walker, Rúben Dias, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Sergio Gómez, Joško Gvardiol, Manuel Akanji, Kalvin Phillips, Mateo Kovačić, Jack Grealish, Rodri, Kevin De Bruyne, Bernardo Silva, Matheus Nunes, Phil Foden, Erling Haaland, Jérémy Doku, Julián Álvarez.

Coach: Pep Guardiola

As the stage is set for this exciting matchup in the UEFA Champions League, football fans around the world eagerly await the clash between these two formidable teams. Stay tuned for a thrilling encounter!

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