As the excitement builds for La Liga 2024-25, Apuestas-deportivas’ supercomputer BETSiE has crunched the numbers and simulated the season 100,000 times to predict this year’s champions.
The sophisticated algorithm takes into account last season’s match results, pre-season performances, and xG (expected goals) data for and against each team during the current season. Additionally, BETSiE factors in team financials and player valuations from Transfermarkt, offering a detailed analysis of each team’s potential.
Here’s a breakdown of the predictions:
Supercomputer gives Real Madrid a 58% chance to win La Liga, and Barcelona has a 40.2% chance of winning
Real Madrid Tops the List
According to BETSiE, Real Madrid is the clear favourite to lift the La Liga trophy with a 58% chance of winning the title. The algorithm predicts they will secure the league with a narrow 2-point margin over their arch-rivals, Barcelona. The supercomputer forecasts 89.6 points for Los Blancos at the end of the season.
Barcelona Close Behind
Barcelona isn’t far behind in the race, with a 40.2% chance of taking the La Liga crown. While they are expected to fall short by just two points, they remain strong contenders, with an estimated 87.6 points.
Top Relegation Candidate
On the other end of the table, Leganes faces the highest risk of relegation with a 76.1% probability of dropping down to the Segunda Division. Their performance throughout the season could see them struggle to stay afloat in Spain’s top flight.
La Liga 2024-25: Predicted Top 4 Finish
- Real Madrid – 89.6 points
- Barcelona – 87.6 points
- Atletico Madrid – 75.7 points
- Villarreal – 63.7 points
BETSiE’s supercomputer has once again provided an intriguing forecast for the upcoming season. With Real Madrid expected to clinch the title and Barcelona hot on their heels, it promises to be another thrilling La Liga season.
How Does BETSiE Work?
BETSiE uses advanced algorithms to simulate every La Liga match based on a variety of factors, including team form, pre-season performance, player statistics, and financial metrics. The supercomputer also tracks xG data, which gives a clear idea of a team’s attacking and defensive performance, and integrates team valuations from Transfermarkt to offer a comprehensive projection.
Will Real Madrid lift the trophy, or will Barcelona defy the odds? Keep following the season to see if BETSiE’s prediction holds true!
For full projections and detailed match breakdowns, check out the La Liga standings predicted by BETSiE [here].
| LA LIGA – PROJECTED LEAGUE TABLE (Last Update: 3rd of October 2024) | |||||||||
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27.2 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 84.5 | 23.2 | 61.3 | 89.6 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 27.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 96.8 | 35.9 | 60.9 | 87.6 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21.6 | 10.8 | 5.6 | 63.5 | 27.7 | 35.7 | 75.7 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 38 | 18.4 | 8.6 | 11.0 | 65.7 | 56.3 | 9.4 | 63.7 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 17.4 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 52.2 | 38.2 | 14.0 | 62.2 |
| 6 | Girona | 38 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 12.2 | 57.7 | 48.5 | 9.2 | 57.9 |
| 7 | Betis | 38 | 15.0 | 10.7 | 12.3 | 47.1 | 42.6 | 4.5 | 55.8 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 38 | 15.3 | 9.6 | 13.1 | 46.9 | 39.1 | 7.8 | 55.5 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 13.3 | 10.5 | 14.2 | 36.1 | 40.8 | -4.8 | 50.3 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 38 | 12.7 | 10.4 | 14.9 | 44.9 | 50.6 | -5.7 | 48.6 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12.7 | 10.0 | 15.3 | 41.2 | 52.9 | -11.7 | 48.2 |
| 12 | Valencia | 38 | 12.3 | 10.1 | 15.6 | 39.5 | 47.1 | -7.6 | 47.0 |
| 13 | Celta | 38 | 12.3 | 8.1 | 17.6 | 49.8 | 61.2 | -11.4 | 44.9 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 17.2 | 42.0 | 53.1 | -11.1 | 44.7 |
| 15 | Vallecano | 38 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 15.8 | 35.2 | 47.2 | -12.0 | 42.3 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 9.0 | 11.8 | 17.2 | 33.1 | 48.5 | -15.4 | 38.8 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 38 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 35.9 | 63.1 | -27.2 | 35.1 |
| 18 | Las Palmas | 38 | 7.9 | 10.2 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 64.3 | -25.3 | 33.7 |
