Industry experts are predicting that Reliance Jio Infocomm is getting ready for its Initial Public Offering (IPO) year, which aligns with the exit of global private equity firms from the Reliance Industries telecom division. These firms, such as Vista Equity Partners, KKR, PIF, Silver Lake L Catterton, General Atlantic, and TPG, have made investments in the telecom operator over the years.
All About Reliance Jio IPO
It is expected that Reliance Jio will implement a 20% tariff increase after the elections as part of its strategy to achieve an IPO. Analysts believe that failing to implement this price hike could negatively impact the valuation of the company. However, this projection relies on the expectation of a 20% tariff increase in the quarter of 2025.
Jefferies suggests that if Jio goes public in 2025 as planned it would be more receptive to tariff increases, in 2024 to stimulate growth. If there are no increases, the projected earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for Jio in the year 2026 would decrease by 22% to $7.6 billion. This would have an impact on its valuation when it goes public.
Mukesh Ambani‘s Reliance Industries currently holds a 67% stake in Jio Platforms Ltd (JPL) which encompasses Reliance telecom and digital assets. The remaining 33% is divided between Meta and Google with an 18% share while various private equity investors collectively own 15%. JPL has already secured over ₹1.52 lakh crores from these investors.
The speculation surrounding a Reliance Jio IPO year aligns with the telco’s completion of its nationwide rollout of 5G services. With a user base of 90 million people on board, with their 5G offerings Jio is now focused on capitalizing on their enterprise services and Jio AirFiber. A fixed wireless access (FWA) service based on 5G technology.
Industry experts predict that Jio’s AirFiber services have a revenue potential with estimated earnings ranging from $4 to $9 billion. The key factor, for success lies in gaining acceptance from 50 to 100 million households positioning it as an alternative to the PayTV market. Nonetheless, Jio’s quick expansion of users those who opt for the budget-friendly JioBharat phone has led to a plateau in average revenue, per user (ARPU) growth.
