35.6 C
Delhi

Supercomputer predicts the winner of the 2022 World Cup

Brazil are predicted to win the 2022 World Cup on penalties against Belgium according to BetVictor’s World Cup supercomputer. The final is expected to end in a 2-2 stalemate, with Brazil taking the win on penalties 5-4. 

Supercomputer Predictions

  • Brazil have the highest probability of winning the tournament with 14%, followed by Belgium (13%), Argentina (10%), and England (8%)
  • The predictive model expects five games to go to extra time, two of which will go to a penalty shootout
  • The USA are predicted to play the Netherlands in the Round of 16, with the Netherlands winning the game in extra time
  • England are predicted to beat France in a Quarter-final penalty shootout but lose 2-0 to Belgium in the Semi-final
  • Brazil and Argentina are predicted to face in the Semi-final with the game requiring extra time and finishing 3-2

2022 World Cup Simulation

World Cup Predicted Tree Supercomputer predicts the winner of the 2022 World Cup

Methodology

At the heart of the supercomputer is a match simulator that uses Poisson distribution to generate score lines, the mean value given to the Poisson distributor is based on an algorithm that assesses the skill level of teams in addition to past goals scored data from previous World Cups. Games are then simulated thousands of times to calculate match outcomes and tournament probabilities.

To predict how many games went to extra time or penalties we evaluated tournament data from the past five World Cups. 35% of Knockout games went to extra time, and 57.33% of those games went to Penalties – these probabilities were coded into the model for the KO stage.

To determine the specific games that went to extra time or penalties, unique probabilities were calculated during the simulation itself using a formula to generate an assigned probability to fixtures based on the relative skill gap between teams. For example, if the teams facing were a similar skill level the fixture had a higher probability of going to extra time and penalties than other KO games in the same tournament simulation.

- Advertisement -TechnoSports-Ad

The World Cup predictor will be updated throughout the tournament to provide all the latest probabilities. You can view it here

Read: FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022: Here’s how to watch the matches LIVE from all over the world

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Rahul Roy
Rahul Roy
I am a computer guy by profession and a sports fanatic by choice.
TechnoSports-Ad

Popular

TechnoSports-Ad

Related Stories

More from author

Exclusive list of Top 10 cheapest countries to buy a PS5

PlayStation 5, the next-gen console by Sony, has already been released worldwide in 2020 but the demand for the PS5 is still high. If...

Shah Rukh vs Salman vs Aamir: Which Khan has the highest number of Rs 100 crore blockbuster movies?

Bollywood is often said to be run by the Khans and the most prominent Khans are Shah Rukh Khan, Aamir Khan and Salman Khan....

NBA all time leading scorer: Check out the Top 10 basketball players

LeBron James has broken the record for the most points scored by an individual in the NBA. The 38-year-old icon surpassed Kareem Abdul-Jabbar's tally...

Top 5 incredible shots taken by Christoper Nolan using practical effects as he hates CGI

Christopher Nolan is widely regarded as one of the most accomplished directors in the film industry. He has gained recognition for his exceptional work...