Goalkeepers play a vital role in any team, with their shot-stopping ability often making the difference between success and failure over a season. But which keepers are contributing the most and which are falling short?
Experts have analysed the performances of each club’s No.1 this season revealing best PL goalkeeper, who have had the biggest impact and how many goals they could be responsible for by the end of the campaign.
Table of Contents
Data analysis reveals shock candidate for best PL goalkeeper so far this season
- Leicester City’s Mads Hermansen has been a standout performer in a tough season for the Foxes. The Danish goalkeeper is projected to prevent 3.64 goals before the end of the season which could be crucial in their battle for survival.
- Guglielmo Vicario’s has been a big miss for Tottenham. The Italian goalkeeper, is projected to prevent 3.36 goals, highlighting his importance to Postecoglou’s side during the run in.
- Graham Potter faces a selection dilemma between Lukasz Fabianski and Alphonse Areola, but the data suggests Fabianski is the safer pair of hands. Areola is projected to be responsible for letting in 6.72 goals over the rest of the season, the league highest.
- Stefan Ortega endured a difficult night in Manchester City’s 5-1 defeat to Arsenal. With Ortega projected to be responsible for an additional 2.52 goals being conceded for the remainder of the season, Guardiola will be hoping first-choice goalkeeper Ederson remains fit and available.
Top 10 best PL goalkeepers
| Player | Squad | 90 minutes complete | GA | PSxG | PSxG+/- | /90 | End of year differential |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hermansen | Leicester City | 16.5 | 35 | 37.3 | 4.3 | 0.26 | 3.64 |
| Guglielmo Vicario | Tottenham | 12 | 13 | 15.9 | 2.9 | 0.24 | 3.36 |
| Martin Dúbravka | Newcastle Utd | 9 | 8 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 0.24 | 3.36 |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | Bournemouth | 17 | 21 | 24.2 | 3.2 | 0.19 | 2.66 |
| Łukasz Fabiański | West Ham | 11.9 | 20 | 22.3 | 2.3 | 0.19 | 2.66 |
| Caoimhín Kelleher | Liverpool | 8 | 9 | 10.4 | 1.4 | 0.17 | 2.55 |
| Ederson | Manchester City | 15 | 20 | 21.5 | 2.5 | 0.16 | 2.24 |
| Dean Henderson | Crystal Palace | 24 | 30 | 31 | 3 | 0.13 | 1.82 |
| Nick Pope | Newcastle Utd | 15 | 21 | 21.6 | 1.6 | 0.11 | 1.54 |
| Jordan Pickford | Everton | 23 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 0.09 | 1.35 |
Top 10 worst PL goalkeepers
| Player | Squad | 90 minutes complete | GA | PSxG | PSxG+/- | /90 | End of year differential |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphonse Areola | West Ham | 12.1 | 26 | 17.2 | -5.8 | -0.48 | -6.72 |
| José Sá | Wolves | 17 | 35 | 28.2 | -4.8 | -0.28 | -3.92 |
| Stefan Ortega | Manchester City | 9 | 15 | 13.4 | -1.6 | -0.18 | -2.52 |
| Aaron Ramsdale | Southampton | 16 | 34 | 31.8 | -2.2 | -0.14 | -1.96 |
| Emiliano Martínez | Aston Villa | 23.5 | 36 | 33.1 | -2.9 | -0.12 | -1.68 |
| Bernd Leno | Fulham | 24 | 32 | 28.3 | -2.7 | -0.11 | -1.54 |
| Arijanet Muric | Ipswich Town | 18 | 33 | 31.4 | -1.6 | -0.09 | -1.26 |
| Bart Verbruggen | Brighton | 22 | 37 | 32.9 | -2.1 | -0.09 | -1.26 |
| Mark Flekken | Brentford | 22.4 | 40 | 38.4 | -0.6 | -0.03 | -0.42 |
| David Raya | Arsenal | 24 | 22 | 21.7 | -0.3 | -0.01 | -0.14 |
Methodology
- Xg data sourced from FBRef on 06/02/2025
- The end-of-year differential has been generated by using the goalkeeper’s Post Shot Xg with the number of games remaining to calculate how many goals each keeper will be responsible for if they play each remaining Premier League game.
- Goalkeepers must have played seven or more periods of 90 minutes in the Premier League to qualify.
Post-Shot XG
Post-Shot xG (PSxG) is calculated after a shot has been taken and generally considers shot placement, and if the model includes it, goalkeeper positioning in assigning a value between 0 (off-target) and 1 to every shot. Traditionally, PSxG’s primary utility has been in assessing goalkeeper shot-stopping ability, although newer models that include extra factors like shot velocity could provide further insight into finishing ability.
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