The shift from mini-LED to OLED is expected to be protracted, with one expert speculating that the timing of the next MacBook’s arrival will be determined by how quickly Apple introduces new iPad models first. Apple has been in talks with a few vendors, but due to the company’s strict requirement for top-tier components in its products, it will need a new panel.
According to TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, the first OLED iPad models will be available in 2024. He claims that the OLED MacBook’s arrival will be dependent on how rapidly Apple can produce new iPad models. Kuo expects Apple would debut OLED iPad models first, as it did with the 12.9-inch iPad Pro, followed by the 2021 MacBook Pro, all of which include mini-LED illumination.
When it comes to converting to OLED, there have been some problems. For example, the cost per display would almost certainly skyrocket, which is why Apple has yet to embrace mini-LED in other products. Samsung is said to be working on two-stack tandem OLED screens, which will most likely be used in future iPad versions.
The Korean company will have to start from scratch to produce this panel, and after previously denying to mass-produce OLED displays due to a lack of profitability, it appears that Apple and Samsung have agreed to put their disagreements aside. Assuming all goes as planned, Samsung will finalize its spending plans in the second quarter of 2022 and place orders for the essential equipment in the third quarter.
This equipment is projected to arrive in 2023, and based on the current timeline, Samsung might supply Apple with advanced OLED panels for use in a 2024 iPad model. LG is also expected to divide orders with Samsung, however, due to Samsung’s large resources, the latter is projected to receive the majority of orders in creating this specific panel.
According to these projections, the first OLED MacBook might be released in 2025, but we’ll have to wait and see how Apple deals with the rising display costs alone. The starting price for the first mini-LED iPad Pro was $1,099, and that was only for the base model. The 14-inch MacBook Pro with Apple’s M1 Pro costs $1,999 and has the same display as the 15-inch MacBook Pro. The majority of buyers will find those asking costs unappealing, so we’ll have to wait and see if Apple can at least price future items at the same level.